There are no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, or Gulf of Mexico
PDC Global Hazards Atlas showing the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean Sea, and part of the Atlantic Ocean...with accumulated precipitation during the past 3 hours
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT Thursday October 13 2011
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…
A SURFACE LOW LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE…SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE…30 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS PRODUCING A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. WHILE SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE FALLEN IN THIS AREA…ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT…LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO…THE YUCATAN PENINSULA…BELIZE…AND GUATEMALA AS THIS SYSTEM REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE…10 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map – Showing these areas under investigation above
Atlantic Ocean
There are no active tropical cyclones
NOAA satellite image of the Atlantic
Caribbean Sea
There are no active tropical cyclones
NOAA satellite image of the Caribbean Sea
Gulf of Mexico
There are no active tropical cyclones
