PDC Weather Wall

October 2011
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Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – AM – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical cyclone 11E (Irwin) is active in the eastern Pacific…located approximately 190 miles west of Manzanillo, Mexico (Tropical storm…40 mph sustained winds)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas showing the storm track and error cones for tropical storm Irwin...as well as 3 hour precipitation accumulations

Tropical cyclone 23W (Banyan) is active in the South China Sea…located approximately 225 NM west of Manila, Philippines (Strengthening tropical depression…25 knots sustained winds)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas showing tropical depression Banyan's storm track and error cones, and accumulated 3 hour precipitation totals

Eastern North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 11E (Irwin)

NHC forecast advisory
NHC graphical track map
NOAA Satellite image
PDC Global Hazards Atlas

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

11AM PDT THUR OCTOBER 13, 2011

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IRWIN…LOCATED ABOUT 190 MILES WEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. WHILE TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC BASIN…LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO…EL SALVADOR…AND GUATEMALA AS THIS SYSTEM REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE…NEAR 0 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Latest eastern Pacific IR satellite image – Showing the area under investigation above