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Oct
11
2011

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – PM – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical cyclone 10E (Jova)  is active in the eastern Pacific…located approximately 70 miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico (hurricane…100 mph sustained winds)

Tropical cyclone 11E (Irwin) is active in the eastern Pacific…located approximately 620 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California (Tropical storm…45 mph sustained winds)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas showing hurricane Jova, tropical storm Irwin, with storm track, error cones, and 3 hour precipitation accumulations

Tropical cyclone 23W (Banyan) is active in the Philippine Sea…located approximately 260 NM south-southeast of Manila, Philippines (Tropical storm…35 knots sustained winds)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas showing tropical storm Banyan, with storm track, error cones, and 3 hour accumulated precipitation totals

Eastern North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 10E (Jova)

NHC forecast advisory
NHC graphical track map
NOAA Satellite image
PDC Global Hazards Atlas

Tropical Cyclone 11E (Irwin)  

NHC forecast advisory
NHC graphical track map
NOAA Satellite image
PDC Global Hazards Atlas

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

5PM PDT TUE OCTOBER 11, 2011

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JOVA…LOCATED ABOUT 70 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO…AND ON TROPICAL STORM IRWIN…LOCATED ABOUT 620 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT LIKELY DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS…AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE…20 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT…THIS LOW IS DRIFTING NORTHWARD AND THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND GUATEMALA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO…WHICH MAY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Latest eastern Pacific IR satellite image

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC…BETWEEN 140W AND 180:

200 PM HST TUE OCTOBER 11 2011

No tropical cyclones are expected through Thursday afternoon

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Latest Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Western North Pacific

Tropical cyclone 23W (Banyan)

JTWC textual product
JTWC graphical track map
JTWC satellite image
PDC Global Hazard Atlas

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area