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Oct
07
2011

Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – PM – Pacific / Indian Oceans


Tropical cyclone 10E (Jova)  is active in the eastern Pacific…located approximately 490 miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico (Strengthening tropical storm…65 mph sustained winds)

Tropical cyclone 11E (Irwin) is active in the eastern Pacific…located approximately 960 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California (Strengthening hurricane…90 mph sustained winds)

 

PDC Global Hazards Atlas showing location, storm track, error cones, and 3 hour precipitation totals for tropical cyclones Irwin and Jova...as well as tropical disturbance 99E

Eastern North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 10E (Jova)

NHC forecast advisory
NHC graphical track map
NOAA Satellite image
PDC Global Hazards Atlas

Tropical Cyclone 11E (Irwin)  

NHC forecast advisory
NHC graphical track map
NOAA Satellite image
PDC Global Hazards Atlas

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

5PM PDT FRI OCTOBER 7, 2011

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JOVA…LOCATED ABOUT 505 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO…AND ON HURRICANE IRWIN…LOCATED ABOUT 945 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM…AND THIS LOW COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE…50 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES LITTLE.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Latest eastern Pacific IR satellite image

Central North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC…BETWEEN 140W AND 180:

200 PM HST FRI OCTOBER 7 2011

No tropical cyclones are expected through Sunday afternoon

Latest Central Pacific Satellite Image

Latest Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Western North Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

North Arabian Sea

There are no current tropical cyclones

Satellite image of this area

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