PDC Weather Wall

October 2011
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Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – AM – Pacific / Indian Oceans

Tropical cyclone 10E (Jova) is active in the eastern Pacific…located approximately 535 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico (Strengthening tropical storm…60 mph sustained winds)

Tropical cyclone 11E (Irwin) is active in the eastern Pacific…located approximately 925 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California (Strengthening hurricane…85 mph sustained winds)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas showing storm tracks, error cones, and 3 hour precipitation accumulations for tropical cyclones Jova and Irwin

Eastern North Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 10E (Jova)

NHC forecast advisory
NHC graphical track map
NOAA Satellite image
PDC Global Hazards Atlas

Tropical Cyclone 11E (Irwin)

NHC forecast advisory
NHC graphical track map
NOAA Satellite image
PDC Global Hazards Atlas

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

11AM PDT FRI OCTOBER 7, 2011

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JOVA…LOCATED ABOUT 535 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO…AND ON HURRICANE IRWIN…LOCATED ABOUT 925 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM…AND IT HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE…30 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

NHC graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Map

Latest eastern Pacific IR satellite image