PDC Updates | July 23, 2010

 Tropical Storm Bonnie Strengthens, Approaches Oil Spill and Coast

 

 

 

Former Tropical Depression 03 is now Tropical Storm Bonnie, but it is not expected to achieve hurricane strength before making landfall.

 

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Former Tropical Depression 03 is now Tropical Storm Bonnie, but it is not expected to achieve hurricane strength before making landfall.

July 23, 2010 – 9:12 a.m. HST (19:12 UTC): Yesterday’s tropical depression (TD 03) quickly spun-up into a tropical storm named Bonnie. According to the latest National Hurricane Center’s track map, it is moving over southern Florida, to the south of Miami and into the Gulf of Mexico at this time. Winds were locally strong and gusty with Bonnie, although in a fairly small area. Rainfall from this storm, at least thus far, has been fairly minimal, and again, in a small area. This radar image of south Florida showed that there was a minimum of flooding, with just a few heavy showers in the area Friday, at mid-afternoon EST.

The forward motion of the storm took on some added (and unexpected) speed, moving rapidly out of the Caribbean, making a landfall over Florida in the process. Bonnie has been affected by interaction with the southern Florida landmass, and also by the shearing effect of the upper level winds in the area, which have weakened the storm somewhat.

The expectation remains that Bonnie will stay below hurricane force, and will begin moving over the oil spill area Saturday morning. The forecast calls for Bonnie to make landfall somewhere along the coast from New Orleans across Mississippi and Alabama to the Florida panhandle at some time early Sunday morning. There will be a relatively small storm surge (3+ feet), along with coastal surf, which will push whatever oil is in the area a distance inland. Here’s a surface oil forecast from NOAA. There remain uncertainties in forecasts of the track and intensity, so there may be changes up ahead.

 

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